TOTAL VOLUME:
$155.3b
24H VOL:
$358,270,487
24H TRANSACTIONS:
3,002,125,488
OPEN INTEREST:
$2,041,693,191
423,163
Markets across
39,982
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,387
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 8:44 PM EST
Kalshi
This event involves multiple markets centered around individual player performances in a specific football game, focusing on the achievement of touchdown milestones. Each market is tied to a different player from either team, with varying thresholds for the number of touchdowns required for resolution. The outcomes are determined purely by the players' on-field scoring accomplishments during the game.
All markets share a common set of protective and settlement rules. Contracts are designated as protected, meaning if a player participates in at least one play during the first half but none after (including overtime), the contract resolves to the fair price prior to kickoff unless the required touchdowns are scored. If the player participates in any play after the first half, settlement is based on actual statistics regardless of first-half involvement. Participation in a play nullified by penalty does not count, and players who never participate are subject to the fair price non-participation rule. The protected designation applies only to full-game contracts with an above or at-least payout criterion. This event considers the full game including overtime, and passing touchdowns do not count toward the required thresholds. Team defense/special-teams selections settle on actual touchdowns, with the player participation exception not applying to them. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the 'wisdom of the crowd,' potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines as new information becomes available or as public perception shifts regarding the game's likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price adjusts to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the potential for touchdowns in this matchup.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of touchdowns scored in the Dallas versus Philadelphia game will be the determining factor. This will be based on official game statistics, and the market will settle to reflect whether the actual number of touchdowns was above or below the threshold represented by the contract prices at the time of resolution. The platform will verify the data against established sports statistics sources.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Dallas or Philadelphia teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions unfavorable for passing, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, updates on team strategies or coaching decisions, as well as any late-breaking news related to the game, could all contribute to price movements as traders adjust their predictions based on the latest available information.