TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$185,665,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,833,875,329
407,365
Markets across
40,470
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,365
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 11:21 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of both teams in a specific football game, focusing on how many times each team's defense can tackle the opposing team's quarterback behind the line of scrimmage. The outcome depends on whether predetermined thresholds of these tackles, known as sacks, are met by either team during the match.
The event resolves based on the total number of sacks recorded by each team in the Dallas vs Philadelphia Pro Football game scheduled for October 26, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific sack threshold for either Dallas or Philadelphia, resolving to 'Yes' if the respective team achieves that threshold. Sacks recorded during 2-point conversion attempts are excluded from all counts. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific outcome thresholds.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective that can differ from traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set initial odds based on their own models and risk assessment, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly as new information emerges or public sentiment changes. While sportsbooks may adjust their lines based on betting action, this market continuously updates as traders buy and sell contracts, potentially offering a more dynamic and responsive view of the expected outcome. It's common to see this market incorporate information not immediately reflected in sportsbook odds.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the total number of sacks. The price of each contract reflects the market's probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity provide insights into the level of conviction behind different predictions. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded, and inaccurate ones are penalized. This dynamic creates an efficient price discovery mechanism.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of sacks recorded in the Dallas versus Philadelphia game will determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi once the data is verified. It's important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches to understand any factors that could influence the final result.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries on either the Dallas or Philadelphia defensive lines would be a major catalyst. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to be windy or rainy, could also influence the number of sacks. Unexpected coaching decisions or shifts in offensive strategies could also play a role. Finally, public perception and media coverage leading up to the game can affect trading activity and, consequently, the market price. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for traders looking to capitalize on potential movements in this market.