TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 11:29 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the rushing performance of specific players in an upcoming NFL game between Dallas and Philadelphia. Contracts pay out based on the total rushing yards each player accumulates during the game, with payments scaling linearly relative to yardage. The structure allows participants to speculate on individual player productivity in the matchup.
Both markets operate as scalar contracts where Yes positions pay $0.0025 per rushing yard recorded by the respective player (Dak Prescott or Javonte Williams) up to a maximum of $1.00, equivalent to 400 yards. No positions receive $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Payouts are capped and proportional to yardage, meaning any yardage between 0–400 determines the final settlement. For instance, 80 yards would yield Yes $0.20 and No $0.80, while zero yards results in Yes $0.00 and No $1.00. The structure applies uniformly across both player-specific markets, with Kalshi explicitly stating no official affiliation with the NFL.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, particularly as an event approaches. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individuals. However, discrepancies can exist, especially early on, as sportsbooks may incorporate factors not yet fully priced into this market. It’s common to see convergence as the event draws nearer and more information becomes available, but differences can create opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different rushing yardage ranges. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set prices efficiently, as they can profit by correctly anticipating the outcome. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the likely rushing yardage total in the Cowboys-Eagles game.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official rushing yardage statistics from the Dallas Cowboys versus Philadelphia Eagles game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final official rushing yardage total will be used to determine which contracts pay out, and at what value. The market will settle based on the official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders will be able to see the final outcome and their resulting profits or losses after the official results are published.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Injury reports for key running backs on either the Cowboys or Eagles would be significant, as would any changes in weather forecasts predicting rain or snow, which could affect the running game. News regarding offensive line changes or defensive strategies could also move the market. Finally, any late-breaking information about player matchups or coaching decisions could impact trader sentiment and lead to price adjustments. Monitoring these signals can help you assess potential opportunities in this market.