TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 11:24 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of specific players in an upcoming football game, focusing on how many rushing yards they accumulate. The payout structure rewards higher yardage with progressively larger returns, creating a direct link between player performance and financial outcome.
Contracts in this event pay out based on the rushing yards achieved by designated players in a specific football game. For each player market, Yes contracts pay an increasing amount tied to every 10-yard increment in rushing yards, following a cubic scaling formula that caps at $1.00 for 200+ yards. The payout schedule begins at $0.0000 for 0–9 yards and increases non-linearly, with amounts like $0.0033 for 30–39 yards and reaching $1.0000 for 200+ yards. No contracts pay the difference between $1.00 and the Yes payout. Negative rushing yards result in a $0.00 payout for Yes contracts. The payout formula uses a cubic function applied to the player's yardage, truncated to a maximum of 200 yards, ensuring smooth scaling of returns relative to performance. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small team of experts, while this market incorporates insights from many participants. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, particularly before significant events or when public sentiment shifts. While sportsbooks may initially favor established narratives, this market can quickly adjust to new information and evolving expectations regarding the Cowboys and Eagles’ rushing attacks. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different rushing yardage outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more people buy contracts predicting a certain yardage range, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to converge towards the true probability of the event happening, based on the information available to market participants.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official rushing yardage totals for both the Dallas Cowboys and the Philadelphia Eagles are verifiable from credible public reporting following the completion of their game. The final market price will reflect the actual rushing yards achieved, and contracts will settle accordingly. The official NFL statistics will serve as the basis for determining the winning contracts. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi once the data is verified.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to game day. Injury reports for key running backs on either team would be a significant catalyst, as would any changes in weather forecasts that could affect the running game. News regarding offensive line changes or strategic adjustments could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected news about the teams’ playcalling tendencies or coaching decisions could also cause shifts in the market. Finally, any late-breaking information regarding player availability or game strategy could lead to substantial price movements in this market.