TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 11:26 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on whether Javonte Williams will achieve specific rushing yard thresholds in a football game between Dallas and Philadelphia. The outcomes depend entirely on Williams' performance during the match, with varying levels of difficulty for each threshold.
All contracts are designated as protected, meaning if Javonte Williams participates in at least one play during the first half but does not participate in any play after the conclusion of the first half—including overtime—they resolve to the fair price prior to the game's kickoff unless he meets or exceeds the specified rushing yard threshold. If Williams participates in any play after the first half, the contracts settle based on actual statistics, regardless of his first-half involvement. Participation in a play nullified by penalty does not count, and a player who never participates remains subject to the fair price non-participation rule. The protected designation applies only to full-game contracts with an above or at-least payout criterion, and this event considers full-game rushing yards, including overtime. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially in the lead-up to an event. While sportsbooks may initially set lines based on expert analysis, this market incorporates a broader range of perspectives as participants trade contracts. Any discrepancies between the two can present opportunities for arbitrage, though it’s important to consider transaction fees and potential slippage when comparing. It's common to see this market adjust rapidly to news and insights that haven’t fully been priced into sportsbook lines.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes for the total rushing yards. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices converge to create a collective prediction. The closer we get to the game, the more the prices will likely reflect the expected result, influenced by factors like player injuries and weather conditions.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final, official rushing yard totals from the Dallas vs Philadelphia game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The official NFL statistics will be used to determine the total rushing yards achieved by both teams. The market will settle to 100 if the actual total rushing yards fall within the range defined by the contracts traded, and to the corresponding value if it falls outside that range. Traders holding contracts on the winning side will receive a payout.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key running backs for either the Cowboys or Eagles – such as injuries, changes in playing time, or reports on their health – would likely cause price fluctuations. Weather forecasts are also important, as inclement weather often leads to a greater emphasis on running plays. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic shifts announced during the week leading up to the game could also move the market. Finally, any late-breaking news about the opposing defenses and their ability to stop the run could impact trading activity.