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410,482
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Kalshi:
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Closed: Oct 26, 11:25 PM EST
Kalshi
This market on Kalshi tracks whether Javonte Williams will record 40+ rushing yards in the Dallas vs Philadelphia professional football game. Currently, the probability of Javonte Williams achieving 40+ rushing yards is 99.0%. The market resolves based on official game statistics, as determined by whether Williams records 110+ rushing yards in the game originally scheduled for Oct 26, 2026. Keep a close watch on the game itself, as the market will resolve the day after the originally scheduled game date of October 26, 2026, on October 27, 2026.
All markets resolve based on whether Javonte Williams records the specified rushing yard threshold or more in the Dallas vs Philadelphia professional football game scheduled for October 26, 2026. If Williams is active for the team but does not take a single snap during the game, all markets settle at their fair market price as determined before kickoff. However, once Williams takes at least one snap - even if that play is later nullified by a penalty - all markets immediately settle based solely on the total rushing yards he records during the game, with each market resolving to 'Yes' only if he meets or exceeds its specific yardage threshold. The markets are independent but share these core activation and settlement mechanics.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, but may be influenced by factors like public betting biases or risk management. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading contracts based on their own research and beliefs. As a result, the price on Kalshi can sometimes be more accurate than sportsbook lines, particularly as new information becomes available and is quickly incorporated by traders. It’s a fascinating comparison to observe.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. Each contract represents a specific outcome regarding the total rushing yards in the Cowboys vs Eagles game. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on news, analysis, and their own insights, which causes the price to fluctuate. Higher prices indicate a greater perceived probability of that outcome, while lower prices suggest a lower probability. The market efficiently aggregates this information.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official game statistics are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final rushing yard totals for both the Dallas Cowboys and the Philadelphia Eagles will be used to determine the winning contracts. This will be based on the official statistics released by the NFL following the completion of the game. The market will then settle, and winning contracts will pay out according to their price at the time of resolution. Traders should monitor official sources for the final results.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Injury reports for key running backs on either team would be a major catalyst, as would any changes to the teams’ offensive strategies. Weather conditions on game day could also play a role, as inclement weather often leads to a more run-heavy approach. News regarding defensive matchups or coaching decisions could also influence trader sentiment. Finally, any late-breaking news related to player availability or team dynamics could cause the price to shift as traders react to the new information.