TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 11:25 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether a specific player achieves various yardage thresholds in a football game between two teams on a set date. The thresholds represent cumulative rushing and receiving yards achieved by the player during the game. Outcomes are determined based on the player's performance metrics.
The event evaluates whether Javonte Williams reaches specified cumulative rushing and receiving yard thresholds—80+, 105+, and 130+—in the Dallas vs. Philadelphia Pro Football game scheduled for October 26, 2026. For all thresholds, if Williams is active for the game but does not take a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once Williams takes at least one snap, regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty, the market resolves based on the total rushing and receiving yards he records during the game. The markets operate independently, each resolving to 'Yes' if the corresponding yardage threshold is met. Kalshi clarifies that it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals trading on their own information and beliefs. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges, such as injury reports or weather forecasts. These differences can present opportunities for informed traders who believe the market has mispriced the probability of a particular outcome. Examining both sets of odds can offer a more comprehensive view of expectations.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different yardage totals. The price of a contract indicates the market's assessment of the probability of the actual combined rushing and receiving yards falling at or above that level. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. The market depth shows the volume available at different price points, giving an indication of potential price movements. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a fluid and responsive assessment of the event's likely outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final combined rushing and receiving yards for both the Dallas Cowboys and the Philadelphia Eagles will be used to determine the result. The official NFL statistics will serve as the basis for verifying the total yardage. Traders will then be able to see which contracts settled in their favor, based on whether the actual outcome exceeded or fell short of the contract's yardage level. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on publicly available data.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Injury reports for key players on both the Cowboys and Eagles – particularly running backs and wide receivers – would be major catalysts. Changes in weather forecasts, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could influence the teams’ offensive strategies and yardage totals. Unexpected coaching decisions or shifts in game plans could also move the market. Finally, any significant news regarding player availability or team performance leading up to the game will likely be reflected in trading activity and price adjustments.