TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 11:24 PM EST
Kalshi
This market uses a non-linear payout structure where returns increase exponentially with each additional reception. The design encourages speculation on whether a player will reach higher reception thresholds, with payouts heavily weighted toward larger performance milestones.
Each Yes contract pays according to a predefined schedule based on the number of receptions, following a cubic function formula that increases payouts dramatically for higher reception counts. The No contract pays $1.00 minus the Yes payout, with all payouts capped at $1.00. The payout formula uses a floor function to calculate precise values based on official reception counts, creating an exponential reward curve that emphasizes performance thresholds.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different reception totals. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices converge to reflect the most up-to-date information and expectations. The market's depth and liquidity, indicated by the trading volume, influence how easily prices can change.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official reception totals from the Dallas Cowboys versus Philadelphia Eagles game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final reception numbers for each player will be used to determine which contracts payout, and at what value. The resolution process relies on publicly available data to ensure an objective and transparent outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the Cowboys-Eagles receptions market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or weather conditions could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected developments in practice reports, such as a key receiver being limited or a new offensive scheme being implemented, would likely cause price movements. Furthermore, major shifts in public sentiment or expert analysis regarding player performance could also impact trading activity and, consequently, the prices in this market.