TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 11:29 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks receiving yard performance for specific players in an upcoming NFL matchup. Participants can bet on whether each player will exceed a certain yardage threshold, with payouts scaling based on actual yards gained. The structure allows for varied outcomes depending on individual player performance during the game.
This event comprises four separate scalar markets, each tied to a different player’s receiving yards in the same Dallas vs. Philadelphia NFL game scheduled for October 26, 2026. For each market, Yes contracts pay $0.0025 per receiving yard recorded by the specified player, capped at $1.00, which corresponds to a maximum of 400 yards. The No contracts pay $1.00 minus the Yes payout, ensuring the total payout per contract always sums to $1.00. Payouts are proportional to the holder’s position size, meaning that if a player records 80 receiving yards, the Yes payout would be $0.20 and the No payout $0.80; for 200 yards, both payouts equal $0.50; and for zero yards, the Yes payout is $0.00 while the No payout is $1.00. All markets operate independently, with each resolving based solely on the corresponding player’s performance in that specific game. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the NFL, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on models and public perception, while this market allows individuals to trade based on their own insights. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – the prediction market can adjust more rapidly than traditional sportsbooks. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, with this market sometimes offering more accurate probabilities as the event approaches, especially as informed traders participate.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different receiving yardage tiers. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that tier being achieved. As more traders buy a specific tier, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, offering a real-time assessment of the potential receiving yardage totals for the Cowboys and Eagles players. This creates a fluid pricing mechanism driven by participant activity.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official receiving yardage statistics from the Dallas Cowboys versus Philadelphia Eagles game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will settle based on the actual total receiving yards achieved by all eligible receivers in the game. The specific yardage tiers will be determined by the official game statistics, and contracts will pay out based on whether the actual total falls within the corresponding tier. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Injury reports for key wide receivers on both the Cowboys and Eagles are primary catalysts; the absence of a star player would drastically shift expectations. Weather conditions, particularly if there’s heavy rain or strong winds, could impact passing games and therefore receiving yardage. Unexpected changes in team strategy or play-calling could also move the market. Finally, any news regarding defensive matchups or cornerback assignments could influence traders’ assessments of potential receiving yardage totals.