TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 10:20 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which team will be the first to reach 21 points in an upcoming professional football game. It captures the dynamic nature of the contest as it unfolds, highlighting the back-and-forth competition between the two teams. The outcome depends purely on the game's progress, with no points needed to be scored after 21.
The event determines whether Dallas, Philadelphia, or neither team is the first to score 21 points in their Pro Football game scheduled for October 26, 2026. If either team reaches 21 points first during the game’s regulation or overtime periods, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should neither team achieve this milestone, the Neither Team market resolves to Yes. Postponements are handled such that if the game commences within 48 hours of its original start time, trading remains open and resolves based on the final result. If the game fails to start within this window, the market resolves to a fair price, ensuring adherence to transparent and equitable principles throughout potential scheduling uncertainties.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for a profit margin, while this market is driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. It’s common to see this market odds move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Examining these differences can offer valuable insights into where the discrepancies lie and potentially identify mispriced opportunities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each team reaching 21 points first. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of that outcome’s likelihood. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth shows the available buy and sell orders at different price points, giving you an idea of the demand and supply for each outcome. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market remains responsive to new information.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on which team, the Dallas Cowboys or the Philadelphia Eagles, officially reaches 21 points first according to official game statistics. The official game results will be used to determine the winning outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their positions on Kalshi following the completion of the game and verification of the score.
Several factors could influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Cowboys or the Eagles would likely cause significant movement. Changes in the weather forecast, particularly if it favors one team's style of play, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or social media trends, might also play a role. Finally, performance in preceding games and any strategic adjustments announced by either coaching staff could all contribute to fluctuations in the odds until the game is played.