TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 11:25 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether specific players will achieve a rushing yardage milestone in an upcoming football game between Dallas and Philadelphia. Each market focuses on a different player's performance, evaluating if they reach predefined longest rush thresholds during the match.
The event evaluates whether designated players record a longest rush exceeding specified yardage thresholds in the Dallas vs Philadelphia Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 26, 2026. For each player market, if the athlete records a rush longer than the stated threshold, that market resolves to Yes. If a player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles to the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap — even if the play is nullified by penalty — the outcome is determined based on the longest rush actually recorded during the game. The markets operate independently, with each player's performance assessed separately according to their individual yardage requirements.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and perspectives from many traders. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Polls and analysts often predict a clear favorite, but this market allows for a more nuanced assessment of probabilities based on actual trading activity. These differences can present opportunities for arbitrage or informed betting.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the probability of each player having the longest rush. The price of a contract reflects the current market consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of the likelihood of each outcome. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence traders have in their predictions. The platform facilitates price discovery based on supply and demand.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The player with the longest single rushing attempt during the Dallas versus Philadelphia game will be declared the winner. Official NFL game statistics will be used to determine the longest rush, and the resolution will be based on the official record of the game. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to ensure accuracy and transparency.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries to key running backs on either team would likely cause shifts in probabilities. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor a passing or running game, could also influence trading activity. Pre-game reports on team strategies and expected play-calling tendencies could also move the market. Finally, any significant public endorsements or analyses from football experts could sway trader sentiment and lead to price adjustments in this market.