TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 11:24 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks passing yard milestones for specific quarterbacks in an upcoming football game. Contracts resolve based on whether the designated player achieves certain yardage thresholds during the full match, including any overtime periods.
All contracts are designated as protected, meaning if a player participates in at least one play during the first half but none after halftime (including overtime), the contract resolves to the fair price unless the player meets the specified passing yard threshold. Actual statistics determine resolution if the player participates in any play after the first half, regardless of first-half involvement. Penalties that nullify a play do not count toward participation, and players who never participate are subject to the non-participation rule. The protected designation applies exclusively to full-game contracts with 'at least' criteria, and all yardage totals include overtime plays.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different passing yard outcomes. The price of each contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices fluctuate based on supply and demand; if many traders believe a particular outcome is likely, they will buy contracts for it, driving up the price. Conversely, if traders believe an outcome is unlikely, they will sell contracts, lowering the price. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to reflect the collective intelligence of the traders.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official passing yard totals from the Dallas vs Philadelphia game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final passing yards for both quarterbacks will be tallied, and the market will settle based on which outcome corresponds to the actual result. The official NFL statistics will serve as the basis for determining the winning contract, ensuring a transparent and verifiable resolution process.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding quarterback injuries for either the Cowboys or the Eagles would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they predict heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact passing yard expectations. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic shifts announced before the game could also shift the market. Finally, late-breaking news about key wide receiver availability or defensive matchups will almost certainly move prices as traders adjust their assessments.