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420,493
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Closed: Oct 26, 11:23 PM EST
Kalshi
This market on Kalshi predicts whether Dak Prescott will throw for 200+ passing yards in the Dallas vs Philadelphia game. Currently, the probability of Dak Prescott exceeding 200 passing yards is 99.0%. The market will resolve based on whether Tanner McKee records 125+ passing yards in the Dallas vs Philadelphia Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 26, 2026, as determined by the official game statistics. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market resolves the day after the originally scheduled game date of October 26, 2026, and will be settled based on performance in that contest.
All markets resolve based on whether the named quarterback achieves the specified passing yard threshold in the Dallas vs Philadelphia Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 26, 2026. If the quarterback is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once the player takes at least one snap—even if that play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves strictly according to the actual passing yards recorded during the game. All yardage counts are based on official game statistics, and Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the governing league or ownership of related trademarks and branding.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the views of many individual traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in opinion. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available or as the event draws closer, revealing a different assessment of the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes for the total passing yards. The price of each contract reflects the perceived probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. Essentially, the market price acts as a real-time estimate of the likelihood of various passing yard totals, driven by supply and demand from individuals actively trading on the exchange.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final passing yards total from the Dallas Cowboys and Philadelphia Eagles game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The official game statistics, as reported by a trusted sports data provider, will serve as the basis for settlement. Traders will be able to see the final result and the corresponding payout for their contracts following the conclusion of the game and verification of the official statistics.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries to quarterbacks or wide receivers on either team would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they predict heavy rain or strong winds, could also shift expectations about passing yard totals. Furthermore, updates on team strategies or coaching decisions related to offensive play-calling could influence trader sentiment. Even public opinion, as reflected in expert analysis or media coverage, can contribute to price fluctuations in this market.