TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 9:19 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on the number of passing touchdowns achieved by specific quarterbacks in an upcoming football game between Dallas and Philadelphia. The outcomes depend on whether the designated player meets or exceeds various thresholds of scoring passes during the full match, including any overtime periods.
Each contract is designated as protected, meaning if the individual player participates in at least one play during the first half but does not participate in any play after the conclusion of the first half—including overtime—the contract resolves to the fair price prior to the game's kickoff unless the player records the required number of passing touchdowns. If the player participates in at least one play after the first half, the contract settles based on actual statistics, regardless of first-half involvement. Participation in a play nullified by penalty does not count, and a player who never participates remains subject to the fair price non-participation rule. The protected designation applies only to full-game contracts with an above or at-least payout criterion, and this event considers full-game passing touchdowns, including overtime. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It's common to see differences emerge, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, but remember that each represents a distinct form of forecasting.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and place orders, the prices adjust to reflect the collective expectation. The market depth, or the volume of buy and sell orders at different price levels, provides insight into the strength of conviction behind various predictions.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of passing touchdowns scored in the game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and will be determined by the platform following the completion of the Dallas vs Philadelphia game. Traders will be able to see the final result and any payouts associated with their positions after resolution.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key quarterbacks or wide receivers on either team would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions for passing, could also shift expectations. Pre-game analysis from sports analysts and updated betting lines from sportsbooks may also influence trader behavior. Finally, any significant shifts in public sentiment or betting patterns could contribute to price fluctuations in this market.