TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 9:17 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many passing touchdowns specific quarterbacks will throw in an upcoming football game between Dallas and Philadelphia. Each market focuses on a different threshold of touchdowns for either Tanner McKee or Dak Prescott, allowing participants to bet on various performance levels.
These markets resolve based on the number of passing touchdowns recorded by Tanner McKee or Dak Prescott in the Dallas vs Philadelphia Pro Football game scheduled for October 26, 2026. For any market, if the designated quarterback is active but does not take a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a quarterback takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves according to the actual number of passing touchdowns they record during the game. Each market has a specific threshold (e.g., 1+, 2+, etc.), and if the quarterback meets or exceeds that threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets are independent and evaluated separately based on the named player's performance.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive understanding of expected outcomes, but this market represents a unique, decentralized forecast.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more people trade, the prices adjust to reflect the collective expectation. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by supply and demand, meaning if many traders believe a particular outcome is likely, the price of that contract will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a real-time forecast.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final number of passing touchdowns scored by both the Dallas Cowboys and the Philadelphia Eagles in the game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and verifiable result. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries to quarterbacks or wide receivers on either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions for passing, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, updates on team strategies or coaching decisions, as well as any late-breaking news related to team dynamics, could all impact trading activity and the perceived probabilities of different outcomes in this market.