TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 11:17 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of quarterbacks in a specific football game, focusing on how many times they successfully connect with receivers. The outcome depends on whether the players achieve certain thresholds of completed passes during the match.
The event evaluates whether designated quarterbacks achieve specified passing completion thresholds in the Dallas vs Philadelphia Professional Football game scheduled for October 26, 2026. Each market corresponds to a particular player and a minimum number of completions required for a 'Yes' resolution. If a quarterback is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a quarterback takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves based on the actual number of passing completions recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets, ensuring consistent evaluation criteria for each specified player and completion threshold.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and analysis beyond what’s immediately available in traditional sportsbook odds. While sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk assessment, this market allows anyone to trade on their belief about the likely outcome. You may find that prediction market prices align with sportsbook odds, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available, but divergences can occur due to differing perspectives and the incentive structure of prediction markets.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different passing completion totals. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of traders. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price adjusts to incorporate these factors, providing a real-time assessment of the expected number of passing completions. The market’s depth, indicated by the volume of contracts available at different prices, also provides insights into the confidence level surrounding various outcomes.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official game statistics are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of passing completions achieved by both the Dallas Cowboys and the Philadelphia Eagles during the game will determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on official data sources and is not dependent on any subjective interpretation. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries to quarterbacks or wide receivers on either team would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions expected to affect the passing game, such as strong winds or heavy rain, could also shift prices. Finally, any strategic adjustments announced by either coaching staff, or even in-game performance during the first half, could lead to traders revising their expectations and adjusting their positions in this market.