TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 11:18 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the number of passing attempts made by specific quarterbacks in an upcoming football game between Dallas and Philadelphia. The focus is on whether predetermined thresholds of passing attempts are met by the named players during the contest.
All markets resolve based on whether the specified quarterback records a minimum number of passing attempts during the game. If a quarterback is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a snap occurs—even if later nullified by a penalty—the market outcome is determined solely by the actual passing attempts recorded during play. These rules apply uniformly across all thresholds for both named quarterbacks, ensuring consistent evaluation of performance metrics regardless of game dynamics or administrative adjustments.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and perspectives beyond those considered by traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on team statistics and expert analysis, this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to odds that more accurately predict the actual outcome. It’s common to see differences emerge as new information, such as player injuries or weather forecasts, impacts trading activity. However, both aim to forecast the likelihood of different passing attempt totals for the Cowboys and Eagles.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different passing attempt ranges. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that range occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders buy contracts for a particular range, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their contracts settle in the money. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a market that efficiently reflects the collective intelligence of participants.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final official passing attempt total for the Dallas Cowboys versus the Philadelphia Eagles game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics released by the NFL. The market will settle to 100 for the contract corresponding to the actual passing attempts made during the game, and 0 for all other contracts. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on its price at resolution.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding quarterback injuries for either the Cowboys or the Eagles would be a major catalyst, as it directly affects their passing game potential. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions unfavorable for passing, such as strong winds or heavy rain, could also shift the market. Additionally, strategic adjustments announced by either coaching staff, indicating a shift in offensive approach, could influence trading activity. Finally, any late-breaking news regarding key wide receivers or offensive line changes could also move the market.