TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 8:33 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting which team will score the first touchdown in an upcoming professional football game between Dallas and Philadelphia. It covers all possible scoring scenarios, including offensive, defensive, and special teams plays, and accounts for potential overtime situations. The outcome depends solely on the first touchdown scored, with a separate outcome for cases where no team scores a touchdown during the entire game.
The event determines which team scores the first touchdown in the Dallas vs Philadelphia Pro Football game scheduled for October 26, 2026, with three possible outcomes: Philadelphia scores first, Dallas scores first, or neither team scores a touchdown. All types of touchdowns—including offensive, defensive, and special teams—count toward the resolution, and touchdowns scored in overtime still count for the respective team. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of its original scheduled time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the original scheduled time, the market resolves to a fair price. The market is unaffiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective wisdom of traders on Kalshi, aims to reflect the true probabilities as perceived by participants. While sportsbooks may initially set lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, this market dynamically adjusts based on real-time trading activity and new information, potentially revealing discrepancies in perceived probabilities compared to traditional odds.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy 'yes' contracts, betting that a particular team will score the first touchdown, and sell 'no' contracts, betting against that outcome. The price of each contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy a 'yes' contract, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team scores the first touchdown in the Dallas versus Philadelphia game. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and play-by-play data, ensuring an accurate and transparent outcome. Traders will then be able to collect on winning contracts based on the final result.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding injuries to key offensive players on either the Dallas or Philadelphia teams would likely cause shifts in probabilities. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions impacting the passing game, could also move the market. Furthermore, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or adjustments to the game plan could influence trader sentiment and lead to price fluctuations. Even pre-game analysis and expert opinions could drive activity in this market.