TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 11:21 PM EST
Kalshi
This event checks if both Dallas and Philadelphia will put points on the board specifically in the fourth quarter of regulation in their Pro Football game. Any scoring method—touchdowns, field goals, or safeties—counts as long as both teams achieve at least one scoring play in that quarter.
If Dallas and Philadelphia both score points in the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Dallas vs Philadelphia Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and analysis beyond what’s immediately available to sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on team statistics and expert opinions, but this market allows for continuous adjustment based on a wider range of factors, including news, injuries, and even public sentiment. While sportsbooks may adjust their odds, they do so less frequently than the dynamic pricing seen here. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast event outcomes than traditional betting markets, though discrepancies can occur.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of the event occurring. The price of a contract directly reflects the market’s assessment of that probability – a higher price indicates a greater perceived chance of both teams scoring in the fourth quarter. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be determined by whether both the Dallas Cowboys and the Philadelphia Eagles score at any point during the fourth quarter of the game. Official game statistics will serve as the basis for confirming the outcome. The platform will verify the result against reliable sources to ensure accuracy and transparency, finalizing the market’s settlement at that time.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries on either the Cowboys or the Eagles would likely cause movement, as would changes in weather forecasts predicting adverse conditions that could affect scoring. Significant shifts in public perception, perhaps driven by expert analysis or breaking news, could also impact trading activity. Late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could also play a role. Essentially, any information that alters the perceived likelihood of a high-scoring fourth quarter could move the price of contracts in this market.