TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 10:49 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either Dallas or Philadelphia specifically within the third quarter of their scheduled football game. Each market corresponds to different point differentials that must be achieved by the winning team during that quarter alone.
All markets resolve based solely on the point differential occurring in the third quarter of the Dallas vs Philadelphia Pro Football game scheduled for October 26, 2026. Each market specifies a different threshold for the winning team to exceed—ranging from over 2.5 points to over 10.5 points—for either Dallas or Philadelphia. Only points scored during the third quarter count toward resolution, meaning any points from other quarters are irrelevant. If the specified threshold is met or exceeded by the winning team in that quarter, the corresponding market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. The markets cover a spectrum of outcomes, allowing participants to bet on varying degrees of dominance by either team within the designated quarter.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, risk tolerance, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within this market. It’s common to see this market incorporate information and adjust prices faster than sportsbooks, especially as new information becomes available leading up to the game.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread for the 3rd quarter of the Dallas versus Philadelphia game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Specifically, the market will determine if Dallas wins the 3rd quarter by more than the specified spread, or if Philadelphia wins or ties. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and will be publicly available following the completion of the game.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Dallas or Philadelphia would likely cause a shift in the odds. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team's playing style, could also move the market. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large volume trades on Kalshi itself can influence the price. Finally, any late-breaking news or analysis that alters public perception of the teams' relative strengths could lead to price adjustments in this market.