TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 11:21 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks various point differentials in the second half of an upcoming professional football game between Dallas and Philadelphia. Outcomes depend solely on the margin of victory for either team during the latter half of play, including any overtime periods.
All markets resolve based exclusively on the point differential achieved by either Dallas or Philadelphia in the second half of the game scheduled for October 26, 2026, including any overtime periods. Each market corresponds to a specific threshold that the winning team must exceed in points scored versus the opponent during this timeframe. For markets where Dallas is the designated winner, resolution occurs only if Dallas's second-half points exceed those of Philadelphia by more than the stated margin (e.g., 13.5, 10.5, etc.). Conversely, markets specifying Philadelphia as the winner resolve if Philadelphia's second-half points surpass Dallas's by more than the given threshold (e.g., 2.5, 3.5, etc.). No points scored in the first half or regular time outside the second half contribute to any market outcome. All resolutions are strictly contingent on the final second-half score differential, with overtime included as part of the second half for scoring purposes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and analysis. Often, prediction markets are considered more accurate than traditional polls or expert opinions, as they incentivize participants to express their true beliefs. However, sportsbook odds are readily available and provide a useful benchmark for comparison, though differences are expected due to the distinct mechanisms behind each.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome of the Dallas versus Philadelphia second-half spread. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. The closer the game gets, the more active trading tends to become, and the price will converge as more information becomes available.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final point spread difference between the Dallas Cowboys and the Philadelphia Eagles at the end of the second half will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and verified against credible public sources. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts settled based on whether their prediction aligned with the actual result of the game.
Several signals could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Dallas Cowboys or the Philadelphia Eagles would likely cause a shift in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, any significant shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or breaking news, could lead to increased volume and price fluctuations in this market. Game day developments, such as early scoring drives or unexpected turnovers, will also have an immediate impact.