TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 9:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates various thresholds for the total points scored by both teams in the first quarter of an upcoming football game. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring intensity, allowing participants to assess the likelihood of higher or lower scoring bursts within the opening quarter.
All markets resolve based solely on the combined points scored by Dallas and Philadelphia during the first quarter of their scheduled game on October 26, 2026. Each market has a specific numerical threshold: if the total points exceed that threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. Only points scored within the first quarter count, and all markets operate independently of one another. The markets cover a range of thresholds from 3.5 to 24.5 points, providing multiple opportunities to evaluate different scoring outcomes for the opening quarter. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, which can differ from sportsbook odds set by professionals. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while prediction markets allow traders to directly bet against each other, potentially leading to more efficient pricing. However, sportsbook odds are readily available and widely publicized, providing a useful benchmark for comparison. It’s common to see initial discrepancies between the two, with prediction markets sometimes anticipating shifts in sentiment before sportsbooks adjust their lines. This market is no exception, and observing the difference can be insightful.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders can take either the 'buy' (yes) or 'sell' (no) side of the market, and the price adjusts based on supply and demand. As more people trade, the price converges towards what the market believes is the true probability of the total points scored in the first quarter being over or under a certain threshold. This dynamic pricing allows for a constantly updated assessment of expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the total points scored in the first quarter of the Dallas Cowboys versus Philadelphia Eagles game will be used to determine whether the market settles on the 'over' or 'under' side. The official NFL game statistics will serve as the basis for verification. Traders will be able to see the final result and any associated payouts after the game concludes and the data is officially reported, ensuring a transparent and verifiable resolution process.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding key player injuries for either the Cowboys or the Eagles would likely have a significant impact, as would any changes in weather forecasts that could affect the scoring potential. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team dynamics could also shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, public perception and analysis from sports commentators and analysts can influence trading behavior, even if not directly related to concrete events. Monitoring these signals can provide valuable insights into potential market movements before Oct 27, 2026.