TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 9:09 PM EST
Kalshi
This market examines if both teams, Dallas and Philadelphia, will score at least one point in the first quarter of their October 26, 2026, encounter. Points from all valid scoring plays are considered, and the result is determined exclusively by the scoring activity within the opening quarter of the game.
If Dallas and Philadelphia both score points in the 1st quarter of the Dallas vs Philadelphia Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. This can lead to prediction market prices being more accurate, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. However, sportsbook odds are easily accessible and widely publicized, offering a convenient benchmark for comparison, though they represent a different information synthesis process than the one driving this market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of both teams scoring in the first quarter. As more people buy 'Yes' contracts, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling 'Yes' contracts lowers the price. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the collective assessment of all participants, dynamically adjusting as new information emerges and opinions shift. This creates a real-time probability estimate for the event's outcome, distinct from static odds offered elsewhere.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, resolution will depend on whether both the Dallas Cowboys and the Philadelphia Eagles score at least one point during the first quarter of the game. Official scoring records from the NFL will be used to determine the result. The market will then settle based on whether the 'Yes' outcome (both teams score) or the 'No' outcome (one or both teams fail to score) occurred during that timeframe.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries for either the Cowboys or the Eagles would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions unfavorable for scoring, could also shift the market. Additionally, any significant shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or pre-game polls, could influence trading activity. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create price movement, especially if they signal informed conviction about the likely outcome.