TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$245,601,049
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,405,322
408,349
Markets across
39,583
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,443
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 8:35 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting which Philadelphia player or unit will score the team's first touchdown in an upcoming professional football game against Dallas. Each market corresponds to a specific player or the defensive unit, with outcomes determined by game performance.
These markets determine whether a specified Philadelphia player or the team's defensive unit scores the first touchdown in the Dallas vs Philadelphia game scheduled for October 26, 2026. Each individual player market resolves to Yes if that specific player scores Philadelphia's first touchdown. If the player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price before the game starts. Once a player takes a snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves based on whether they score the first touchdown. If no Philadelphia touchdowns are scored in the game, the 'No Touchdown' market resolves to Yes, and all player-specific markets resolve to No. The defensive unit market follows the same resolution logic as the player markets. All markets are independent, and the 'No Touchdown' market acts as a catch-all if Philadelphia fails to score any touchdowns.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and risk assessment, while this market aggregates the opinions of many individual traders. This can lead to differences in probabilities, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. While sportsbooks may adjust their lines based on betting action, prediction markets continuously incorporate the views of all participants, potentially leading to a more refined assessment of the true probability of an event. It's common to see this market diverge from initial sportsbook offerings.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which player scored the first touchdown of the game between Dallas and Philadelphia. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and play-by-play data, ensuring an objective and verifiable result. Any disputes will be evaluated based on the official game records and widely accepted definitions of a touchdown. This market’s outcome will be determined by the official game results.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, particularly to key offensive players for Philadelphia, would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, especially conditions that favor a running or passing game, could also influence trading activity. Pre-game analysis from sports analysts and commentators, as well as any late-breaking news about team strategies or matchups, could also move the market. Finally, significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks could indirectly impact sentiment and trading volume in this market.