TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 11:21 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track specific combinations of first-half and full-game outcomes in an upcoming football match. Each market requires both the first-half result and the final game result to match a predetermined scenario for resolution. The outcomes encompass various possibilities including wins for either team or a tie in either segment.
The official rules stipulate that each market resolves based on the combined results of both the first half and the full game (including overtime) of the specified Dallas vs Philadelphia Pro Football game scheduled for October 26, 2026. For a market to resolve as 'Yes,' both the first-half result and the full-game result must exactly match the conditions outlined in the respective market's primary rule. If either the first-half or full-game result does not align with the specified conditions, the market resolves to 'No.' Postponements are accounted for: if the game begins within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, markets remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game does not start within this 48-hour window, markets resolve to a fair price. These rules apply uniformly across all markets associated with this event.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect a broader range of information and participant perspectives than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd. This can lead to differences in probabilities, especially as new information emerges. While sportsbooks may initially have an edge due to their analytical resources, prediction markets often become more accurate closer to the event as more traders participate and incorporate diverse insights. It's common to see this market diverge from initial sportsbook lines as the event approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy a contract, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants. The current price of a contract indicates the cost to take a position on a specific result, and traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the eventual outcome of the game.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Dallas versus Philadelphia game, specifically the first half and full-time result as determined by official league sources. The platform will verify the final score against these sources to determine which contracts will pay out and at what value. Traders should monitor official announcements to stay informed about the resolution process and ensure a smooth settlement of their positions.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Dallas or Philadelphia teams would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team's playing style, could also move the market. Major shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or prominent sports commentators, could also impact trading activity. Finally, any late-breaking news related to team strategy or coaching decisions could lead to adjustments in the odds as traders react to the new information.