TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 10:05 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Miami or Dallas will win their professional basketball game scheduled for October 26, 2026. Currently, Kalshi gives Miami a 76.0% probability of winning, while Dallas is at 24.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the game as reported by the official result, with resolution occurring if Dallas wins the Dallas vs Miami Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 26, 2026. Keep an eye on whether the game proceeds as scheduled on October 26, 2026, as any postponement impacting the 48-hour window could affect the market’s resolution.
The market resolves to Yes for the respective team if they win the Dallas vs Miami Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for October 26, 2026. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the Governing League, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market is driven by individuals predicting the actual outcome. Generally, prediction markets tend to be more accurate than traditional forecasts, especially when considering a wide range of events. However, sportsbook odds are readily available and provide a useful benchmark for comparison, though discrepancies are common as this market evolves.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Dallas vs Miami game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official results published by the relevant sporting authority. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for incorrect outcomes will not.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Dallas or Miami teams would likely cause shifts in the odds. Major changes in team strategy, coaching decisions, or even weather forecasts could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements related to player availability or performance could also drive significant movement. Public perception and media coverage, as reflected in polls and analysis, can also impact trading activity in this market.