TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Dallas wins by over 2.5 points
- Kalshi
Dallas wins by over 2.5 points - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 8, 2026
Time left: 05d:23h:43m
$
This set of markets tracks the performance gap between two teams in an upcoming football game, allowing participants to speculate on the extent of the winning margin for either side. The outcomes are determined solely by the final score of the match, reflecting how decisively one team outperforms the other.
The markets resolve based on the point differential of the Dallas vs Indianapolis Pro Football game scheduled for November 8, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific point threshold, with 'Yes' paid if Dallas's victory exceeds the respective margin (ranging from 1.5 to 20.5 points). Conversely, separate markets resolve to 'Yes' if Indianapolis wins by more than designated margins (1.5 to 14.5 points). All markets are independent, and only the applicable threshold market for the actual point differential will resolve affirmatively. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds closely mirror those found at sportsbooks, though differences can emerge. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders. If a significant number of traders believe the sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the odds here will adjust accordingly. Discrepancies can also arise due to differing risk assessments and the influence of public perception. It's common to see this market incorporate information and insights that aren’t immediately reflected in traditional betting lines.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the game’s spread. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand. When more traders buy contracts indicating Dallas will cover the spread, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to aggregate information and generate a forecast. The current price reflects the probability of a particular outcome, as interpreted by the traders on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread will be determined by the actual point difference in the Dallas versus Indianapolis game, as reported by official sources. The market will settle to 100 if Dallas covers the spread, and to 0 if Indianapolis covers. Any interim fluctuations in the market price do not affect the final outcome; it is solely based on the official game result. Traders should monitor official results following the game's conclusion.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to Nov 8, 2026. News regarding key player injuries on either team would likely cause significant movement, as would any changes to the weather forecast. Unexpected coaching decisions or shifts in team strategy could also impact trader sentiment. Major news stories impacting overall NFL viewership or betting interest might have a broader effect. Additionally, large volume trades on Kalshi from informed traders could signal shifts in expectations and cause the market to react accordingly.