TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Dallas vs Houston: Winning Margin
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What is the result of Dallas vs Houston?

Volume:
$19,960

Dallas by 1 to 6

 - Kalshi

Dallas by 1 to 6 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 4, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 4:17 PM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Dallas by 1 to 6

View
100%
82%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,826
N/A
N/A
$2,739
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Dallas by 7 to 14

0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,605
N/A
N/A
$2,771
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,031
N/A
N/A
$3,031
Settled
No
kalshi

Dallas by 15 or more

0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,933
N/A
N/A
$2,785
Settled
No
kalshi

Houston by 1 to 6

0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,752
N/A
N/A
$2,482
Settled
No
kalshi

Houston by 7 to 14

0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,348
N/A
N/A
$2,134
Settled
No
kalshi

Houston by 15 or more

0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,464
N/A
N/A
$1,249
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This event tracks the performance of two NFL teams in an upcoming match, focusing on the margin of victory. It evaluates different ranges of point differentials to determine the outcome, reflecting how decisively one team may outperform the other. The result is based solely on the final score of the game, including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

The event determines the outcome based on the point differential between Dallas and Houston in their Pro Football game scheduled for October 4, 2026. If Houston wins by exactly 0 points (a tie), or by any number of points between 1 and 6, 7 and 14, or 15 or more, the respective markets resolve to Yes. Similarly, if Dallas wins by between 1 and 6 points, 7 and 14 points, or 15 or more points, the corresponding markets resolve to Yes. All outcomes are evaluated based on the full game result, including overtime, and the markets are independent of any official affiliations with the Governing League. Trademarks and brand names remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the NFL divisional matchup tracks the current price of contracts representing different winning margins. You can view the price history, which shows how the perceived probability of each margin has changed over time. It also displays the 24-hour volume, currently at $16,427, and the total volume traded to date, which is $19,960. This allows traders to gauge market interest and potential shifts in sentiment regarding the outcome of this contest. The dashboard provides a real-time view of where traders are placing their bets.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust prices based on their own analysis and information. This can lead to prediction market prices being more accurate, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. However, sportsbook odds are widely accessible and represent another perspective on the likely outcome of the NFL divisional matchup. It's common to see discrepancies, particularly early in the trading period.

This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning margin will be determined by the official result reported by the NFL, and that information will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Traders will be able to see the final result and whether their contracts were settled in their favor shortly after the game concludes. The resolution process relies on publicly available data to ensure a transparent and verifiable outcome for this market.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team, particularly the quarterback or star defenders, would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, especially if severe weather is predicted, could also influence the market. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic shifts announced by either team could also move prices. Finally, any significant public sentiment shifts, perhaps driven by expert analysis or prominent sports commentators, could impact trading activity and alter the perceived probabilities within this market.