TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:17 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of two NFL teams in an upcoming match, focusing on the margin of victory. It evaluates different ranges of point differentials to determine the outcome, reflecting how decisively one team may outperform the other. The result is based solely on the final score of the game, including any overtime periods.
The event determines the outcome based on the point differential between Dallas and Houston in their Pro Football game scheduled for October 4, 2026. If Houston wins by exactly 0 points (a tie), or by any number of points between 1 and 6, 7 and 14, or 15 or more, the respective markets resolve to Yes. Similarly, if Dallas wins by between 1 and 6 points, 7 and 14 points, or 15 or more points, the corresponding markets resolve to Yes. All outcomes are evaluated based on the full game result, including overtime, and the markets are independent of any official affiliations with the Governing League. Trademarks and brand names remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust prices based on their own analysis and information. This can lead to prediction market prices being more accurate, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. However, sportsbook odds are widely accessible and represent another perspective on the likely outcome of the NFL divisional matchup. It's common to see discrepancies, particularly early in the trading period.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning margin will be determined by the official result reported by the NFL, and that information will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Traders will be able to see the final result and whether their contracts were settled in their favor shortly after the game concludes. The resolution process relies on publicly available data to ensure a transparent and verifiable outcome for this market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team, particularly the quarterback or star defenders, would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, especially if severe weather is predicted, could also influence the market. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic shifts announced by either team could also move prices. Finally, any significant public sentiment shifts, perhaps driven by expert analysis or prominent sports commentators, could impact trading activity and alter the perceived probabilities within this market.