TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:17 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks offensive performance in a professional football matchup, focusing on how many total yards each team accumulates during the game. Bettors can speculate on whether a team will surpass specific yardage thresholds, reflecting expectations about offensive efficiency and game dynamics.
The event evaluates whether either Dallas or Houston achieves specified total offensive yard thresholds in their Pro Football game scheduled for October 4, 2026. Each market corresponds to a particular yardage benchmark (e.g., 250+, 300+, up to 450+) for either team. If the designated team reaches or exceeds its threshold, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Postponements are handled such that if the game commences within 48 hours of its original start time, outcomes are based on the final result. If the game does not start within this window, markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under varying scheduling circumstances.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines, which are often set by analysts. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or react quickly to news, while this market aggregates the views of many individual traders. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – both sets of odds will adjust. It's common to see convergence as the event approaches, but discrepancies can still exist, offering potential arbitrage opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived chance. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing sentiment surrounding the Dallas versus Houston matchup.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final team total yards for both Dallas and Houston will be sourced from official NFL statistics. The market will settle based on the officially recorded combined yardage, as reported by the NFL, and the contracts will pay out accordingly to those who correctly predicted the total yards. Traders should monitor official sources for the final results to understand the resolution of this market.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Key player injuries to quarterbacks, running backs, or wide receivers on either team would likely cause substantial shifts in the predicted total yards. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact offensive performance and therefore market prices. Major news regarding coaching strategies or team dynamics could also play a role. Finally, any significant updates to the game schedule or changes in officiating crews could influence trader sentiment and move the market.