TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 1:51 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the performance of two football teams in a specific game, focusing on how many field goals each team successfully kicks. Bettors can speculate on whether a team will achieve a certain number of field goals, reflecting strategies and player capabilities during the match.
All markets resolve based on the official number of field goals scored by either Dallas or Houston in their Pro Football game scheduled for October 4, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific threshold of field goals for a given team (e.g., 1+, 2+, 3+, or 4+). If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game does not start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the game's ultimate status.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect a more accurate forecast than traditional sportsbook odds, as they aggregate the wisdom of many traders. While sportsbooks set lines to attract balanced action and incorporate a profit margin, this market allows participants to directly express their beliefs about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of both markets. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information, potentially offering insights beyond those found in standard betting lines.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes for the total number of field goals scored. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of its probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing opinions. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market efficiently incorporates all available knowledge, providing a real-time estimate of the expected outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total number of field goals scored in the Dallas versus Houston game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning contract. The resolution process relies on publicly available data to ensure an objective and transparent outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players – particularly the kickers or holders for either team – would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, such as strong winds or rain, could also impact the likelihood of successful field goal attempts. Unexpected strategic shifts announced by either coaching staff, or even in-game performance affecting field position, could all contribute to shifts in the market as traders adjust their predictions leading up to Oct 4, 2026.