TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:40 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track rushing performance for specific players in an upcoming football game between Dallas and Houston. Payouts increase with the number of rushing yards achieved by each named player, following a tiered schedule. Contracts reward accurate predictions of individual player productivity in the contest.
Contracts pay based on the official rushing yards accumulated by designated players during the Dallas vs Houston Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 4, 2026. Each Yes contract's payout scales non-linearly with every 10-yard increment, following a cubic function capped at $1.00 for 200+ yards. The payout schedule ranges from $0.0000 for 0–9 yards up to $1.0000 for 200 or more yards, calculated as floor(10000 x (y / 200)^3) / 10000 where y equals min(200, max(0, 10 x floor(s / 10))) and s represents official rushing yards. Each No contract pays $1.00 minus the Yes payout, with negative rushing yards resulting in a $0.00 Yes payout. All markets resolve to Yes after payout determination, and no party is officially affiliated with the governing league.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, while this market allows anyone to participate and express their beliefs, potentially leading to a more accurate forecast. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of trading activity. It’s common to see this market adjust rapidly to new information, potentially moving ahead of sportsbook lines as new developments emerge.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders submit buy and sell orders for contracts representing different rushing yardage totals. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy contracts predicting a higher rushing total, the price of those contracts increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official rushing yardage totals from the Dallas versus Houston game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final market price will reflect the actual total rushing yards achieved during the game. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the contract price at resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their stake. The resolution process relies on publicly available data to ensure a fair and transparent outcome.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Injury reports for key running backs on either team would be a major catalyst, as would changes in weather forecasts – inclement weather often favors a more run-heavy offensive strategy. Unexpected news regarding coaching decisions or offensive line changes could also shift expectations. Finally, any late-breaking information about player matchups or defensive schemes could lead to increased trading activity and price fluctuations in this market as traders adjust their predictions.