TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:43 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks player performance metrics in an upcoming professional football game, focusing on whether specific athletes achieve predetermined yardage thresholds through both rushing and receiving plays. The outcome depends entirely on the players' statistical contributions during the contest.
All markets resolve based on whether designated players achieve specified combined rushing and receiving yardage thresholds in the Dallas vs Houston game scheduled for October 4, 2026. If a player is active for the team but does not take any snaps throughout the game, the market settles at the fair market price determined before kickoff. However, once a player takes at least one snap—even if that play is later nullified by a penalty—the market resolves strictly according to the total rushing and receiving yards they actually record during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all yardage threshold markets for each named player, ensuring consistent evaluation of performance-based outcomes regardless of individual threshold levels.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk assessment, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price in this market will move accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the two can offer valuable insights into differing perspectives on the event’s potential outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome of the total rushing and receiving yards. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price fluctuates, providing a dynamic assessment of the event's likely result. The market's efficiency stems from the incentive for traders to express their true beliefs, leading to a potentially more accurate prediction than traditional methods.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total of combined rushing and receiving yards from the Dallas versus Houston game will be used to determine the winning contracts. Official NFL statistics will serve as the source for this data. Traders will then be able to collect on winning contracts based on their predictions relative to the actual total. It’s important to monitor the event closely as it approaches the resolution date to understand any potential factors that could influence the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Injury reports for key players on either team – especially running backs and wide receivers – would be significant. Any news regarding changes in offensive playcalling strategies or weather forecasts impacting the game could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected news about player availability, even late in the week, can lead to rapid price adjustments. Furthermore, general public perception and media coverage surrounding the game and player performance can contribute to changes in volume and price as traders react to new information.