TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 3:28 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks how often specific players manage to carry the ball during a football game between two teams. It focuses on whether particular players meet or exceed set thresholds for the number of times they run with the ball during the match.
The event evaluates multiple markets centered on the number of rushing attempts by various players in a specific Pro Football game. Each market has a primary condition stating that if a named player records a specified minimum number of rushing attempts, the market resolves to 'Yes.' Secondary rules clarify that if a player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price before the game starts. However, once a player takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the market outcome is determined solely by whether the player met the rushing attempt threshold. These rules apply uniformly across all markets, ensuring consistent resolution criteria regardless of the player or threshold specified.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the likelihood of different rushing attempt totals. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, risk assessments, or simply variations in opinion. It's common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available closer to game time.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the group. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth indicates the volume available at different price points, providing insight into the level of conviction behind each prediction. Traders aim to profit by accurately forecasting the total rushing attempts and trading accordingly.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final rushing attempts total from the Dallas versus Houston game, as officially recorded by the NFL, will determine the winning outcome. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics, ensuring an objective and transparent result. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future markets.
Several factors could influence this market before it resolves around Oct 4, 2026. Injury reports are key; news regarding the status of starting running backs for either the Dallas or Houston teams would significantly impact predictions. Changes in coaching strategy or anticipated game script – for example, if the weather forecast calls for heavy rain, potentially favoring a run-heavy approach – could also drive movement. Finally, any late-breaking news regarding player matchups or defensive adjustments could shift expectations regarding rushing attempts and affect trading activity in this market.