TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:43 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the number of receptions achieved by various players in a specific football game between Dallas and Houston. Each market focuses on a different player and a minimum reception threshold, determining whether the player meets or exceeds that threshold during the game.
All markets resolve based on the total number of receptions recorded by the specified player in the Dallas vs Houston Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026. If the player is active but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before game start. Once the player takes at least one snap—even if nullified by penalty—the market settles based on the actual receptions recorded during the game. Each individual market has a specific reception threshold (e.g., 2+, 3+, etc.), and the market resolves to Yes if the player meets or exceeds that threshold. These rules apply uniformly across all markets for this event.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which are set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or react quickly to news, while this market aggregates the opinions of many traders. You may find that this market incorporates information not immediately reflected in traditional betting markets, particularly regarding player performance or team strategy. However, as the event approaches, the odds on Kalshi and sportsbook lines tend to converge as more information becomes available and both markets adjust to the same data.
On Kalshi, this market is priced as a continuous, real-time exchange. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price fluctuates, providing a dynamic assessment of expectations. The market is driven entirely by supply and demand; if more people believe an outcome is likely, the price of contracts representing that outcome will rise, and vice versa.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of receptions for the players involved will be sourced from official NFL statistics. The market will settle based on the officially recorded reception totals for the specified game. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. It’s important to monitor the event closely as it approaches to understand potential catalysts that could influence the final result.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Injury reports for key players are paramount; if a star receiver is ruled out, it would likely shift expectations. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to be unfavorable for passing, could also move the market. Unexpected coaching decisions or shifts in offensive strategy could influence the number of passing attempts and, consequently, receptions. Finally, any news regarding player matchups or defensive schemes could lead to adjustments in trader sentiment and impact the price of contracts on Kalshi.