TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:39 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the performance of specific players in an upcoming football game between Dallas and Houston. Payouts are determined by the number of receiving yards each player accumulates during the match, with contracts offering proportional returns based on yardage achieved.
Each market operates as a scalar betting structure where Yes contracts pay out $0.0025 for every receiving yard a designated player records in the specified game, capped at $1.00 for up to 400 yards. No contracts pay the difference between $1.00 and the Yes payout. All markets resolve to Yes if the player records any receiving yards, with payouts calculated proportionally to yardage. For instance, 80 yards would yield a Yes payout of $0.20 and a No payout of $0.80, while zero yards results in a Yes payout of $0.00 and a No payout of $1.00. The payout structure ensures that Yes and No positions always sum to $1.00, and positions are scaled according to the holder's investment size.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. You may find that the implied probabilities from Kalshi differ from those offered by sportsbooks, potentially revealing disagreements about player performance or game strategy. These differences can stem from varying information sources or differing interpretations of available data.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome's probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to incorporate new information and changing sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence and agreement among participants regarding the potential receiving yardage totals for the players involved in the Dallas versus Houston matchup.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official receiving yardage statistics from the Dallas versus Houston game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final receiving yardage totals for each player will be used to determine which contracts payout, and at what value. Traders who correctly predicted the receiving yardage ranges will receive a payout based on the contract's price at resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in weather conditions, or adjustments to team strategies could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected developments in player matchups, such as a star receiver being shadowed by a particularly strong cornerback, could also impact the market. Furthermore, late-breaking reports about player health or coaching decisions could lead to rapid price adjustments as traders react to the new information and reassess the probabilities of different outcomes.