TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$203,036,808
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,857,846,526
408,774
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,373
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:49 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the performance of specific players in an upcoming football game between Dallas and Houston. Payouts are determined by the number of receiving yards each player accumulates during the game, with increasing rewards for higher yardage totals. The structure incentivizes speculation on individual player performance in a key matchup.
Each market evaluates player receiving yards in the specified Dallas vs Houston game. Yes contracts pay according to a tiered schedule where every 10-yard increment increases payout, capped at $1.00 for 200+ yards. The payout formula uses a cubic function of normalized yards (y = min(200, max(0, 10 × floor(s / 10))) where s is official yards, scaled via floor(10000 × (y / 200)³) / 10000. No contracts receive $1.00 minus the Yes payout, with Yes paying $0.00 for negative yardage. All markets resolve to Yes after payout calculation, independent of game outcome. Kalshi disclaims affiliation with the league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different receiving yardage outcomes, and the price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of its probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; increased buying pressure raises prices, while increased selling pressure lowers them. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the game approaches.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official receiving yardage statistics for the Dallas versus Houston game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final market price will reflect the actual receiving yards achieved by the relevant players. It’s important to note that the resolution will be based on official data sources and will not be subject to individual interpretation or dispute. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the game concludes and the final statistics are released.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key wide receivers or tight ends on either the Dallas or Houston teams would likely cause substantial price movements. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions expected to affect passing offenses, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected shifts in team strategies or coaching decisions, as well as late-breaking news about player matchups or defensive schemes, could all contribute to volatility. Monitoring these signals and analyzing their potential impact is crucial for traders looking to capitalize on market movements.