TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:43 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks specific player performance metrics in an upcoming football game, focusing on whether certain athletes achieve predetermined receiving yard thresholds. The outcomes depend entirely on the players' statistical contributions during the match.
All markets resolve based on whether specified players record designated receiving yard thresholds in the Dallas vs Houston Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 4, 2026. If a player is active but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before game start. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if nullified by penalty—the market settles strictly based on the receiving yards actually recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all thresholds for each participating player.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially incorporating information and perspectives not fully captured by traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market allows anyone to trade, and prices adjust based on the collective beliefs of participants. It’s common to see differences emerge as new information becomes available or as public sentiment shifts, but both aim to predict the same outcome. Comparing the two can offer a broader understanding of potential results.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning buyers and sellers submit bids and asks, and contracts trade at the best available prices. The price of a contract represents the probability of that particular receiving yardage range being the correct outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices will fluctuate, reflecting the evolving expectations of the market participants. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a real-time assessment of the likelihood of different scenarios.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official receiving yardage totals for the game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final receiving yards, as reported by the official NFL statistics, will determine which contracts pay out. The market will settle based on the official statistics released by the NFL, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final results to understand the settlement of their positions.
Several factors could influence this market's price. Any news regarding player injuries to key receivers or opposing defensive players would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly those predicting adverse conditions, could also impact expected passing volume and therefore receiving yards. Unexpected starting lineup changes or adjustments to offensive game plans could also shift trader sentiment. Finally, late-breaking news about player matchups or coaching strategies could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market.