TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 1:15 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting which team will score the first touchdown in an upcoming professional football game between Dallas and Houston. It covers all possible scoring scenarios, including offensive, defensive, and special teams plays, as well as overtime periods. The outcome depends solely on the first touchdown scored, with a separate option for the possibility that no team scores a touchdown at all during the game.
The market determines which team scores the first touchdown in the Dallas vs. Houston Pro Football game scheduled for October 4, 2026, with three possible outcomes: Houston scores first, Dallas scores first, or neither team scores a touchdown. All touchdowns—offensive, defensive, special teams, and those occurring in overtime—count toward the resolution. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the actual result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and opinions from traders. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Polls and analysts currently suggest a close contest, but the dynamic nature of this market means the perceived probabilities can change rapidly based on trader activity.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each team scoring the first touchdown. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective assessment of that outcome’s likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, creating a dynamic and real-time representation of expectations. The current price indicates the cost to purchase a contract that pays out if that team scores first.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team scores the first touchdown in the Dallas versus Houston game. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics and play-by-play data as reported by official sources. The final result will be determined by the official game record, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries for either the Dallas or Houston teams would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable to one team's offensive style, could also impact the market. Furthermore, any public statements from coaches or players that reveal strategic intentions or confidence levels might sway traders' opinions and alter the price of contracts within this market.