TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:22 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets allow participants to bet on the performance of individual players in an upcoming football game between Dallas and Houston. Payouts are determined by the players' fantasy points scored during the game, with specific calculations applied to each player's performance.
Each market determines payouts based on the Points Per Reception (PPR) fantasy points scored by a specified player in the Dallas vs Houston Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026. For each market, the Yes contract pays $0.01 per fantasy point scored by the player, rounded to the nearest cent with half cents rounded up, and capped between $0.00 and $1.00. The No contract pays $1.00 minus the Yes payout. If Sleeper does not assign a fantasy-point total for the player in that week, the player is considered to have scored 0.0 points, resulting in a Yes payout of $0.00 and a No payout of $1.00. Payouts are proportional to the holder's position size, and all markets are independent scalar contracts.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, analytical approaches, or simply variations in opinion. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available or as the event draws closer. Examining both can offer a more comprehensive view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes, and the price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust accordingly. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand, with higher demand pushing prices up and increased supply causing them to fall. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to provide a real-time assessment of the likelihood of each outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final fantasy football scores for the Dallas vs Houston matchup are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official fantasy point totals awarded by standard fantasy football scoring rules. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their chosen outcome aligned with the final results. It’s important to monitor news and official sources as the event approaches to stay informed about any potential factors that could influence the resolution.
Several factors could influence this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or unexpected performance updates for key players in the Dallas vs Houston matchup could significantly shift trader sentiment. Weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact passing or rushing offenses, could also play a role. Additionally, broader trends in fantasy football strategy or unexpected developments in the NFL could contribute to price movements in this market. Monitoring these signals is crucial for informed trading.