TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Dallas vs Houston
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Who will win Dallas vs Houston?

Volume:
$3,402,439

Houston

 - Kalshi

Houston - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 21, 2026

Closed: Oct 21, 11:03 PM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Houston

View
100%
24%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$690,911
N/A
N/A
$574,530
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Dallas

0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,711,528
N/A
N/A
$2,196,701
Settled
No
Total markets: 2

Intro

This market tracks whether Houston will win its professional basketball game against Dallas. Currently, Kalshi gives Houston a 98.0% probability of winning, while Dallas is at 3.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the game originally scheduled for October 21, 2026, as determined by the official result, according to Kalshi. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market resolves the day after the scheduled fixture on October 22, 2026, to determine the winner.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the official winner of the Dallas vs. Houston professional basketball game scheduled for October 21, 2026. If Dallas wins, the Dallas market resolves to Yes, and the Houston market resolves to No. Conversely, if Houston wins, the Houston market resolves to Yes, and the Dallas market resolves to No. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. If the game is canceled or fails to start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. Kalshi clarifies that it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Dallas vs Houston matchup tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the perceived probability of different outcomes is changing over time, reflected in the price fluctuations. The current 24-hour volume is $3,358,905, and the total volume traded on this market is $3,397,251. This provides a real-time view of where traders are placing their bets and how sentiment is evolving leading up to the event.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own research and information. If there’s a significant discrepancy, it could indicate that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the event, or that new information hasn’t yet been fully incorporated into sportsbook lines. It's common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new developments than traditional betting venues.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes in the Dallas vs Houston matchup. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices converge to reflect the most accurate prediction possible. The current price indicates the cost to acquire a contract that pays out if the corresponding outcome is realized, and it’s constantly updated based on supply and demand.

This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Dallas vs Houston matchup will be used to determine the winning contract. Resolution will occur after official results are released and independently verified. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment. The platform will clearly announce the resolution details once available.

Several signals could significantly move this market before Oct 22, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Dallas or Houston teams would likely have a substantial impact. Changes in coaching strategies, unexpected roster moves, or even significant weather forecasts could also shift trader sentiment. Public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, might also influence prices, though the market isn't solely driven by these factors. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either team winning will likely cause price fluctuations.