TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 8:51 PM EST
Kalshi
This event involves multiple player-specific markets for the Dallas vs Green Bay football game scheduled for October 18, 2026, focusing on whether certain players score a specified number of touchdowns. Each market is protected, meaning if a player participates in the first half but not afterward, the contract resolves to the fair price unless the required touchdowns are scored. The outcomes are determined by actual game statistics if the player participates in the second half or overtime.
All markets in this event are designated as protected, meaning they resolve based on specific player participation criteria and actual game statistics. If a player participates in at least one play during the first half but does not participate in any play after the conclusion of the first half, including overtime, the contract resolves to the fair price prior to the opening kickoff unless the player records the required number of touchdowns. If the player participates in at least one play after the first half, the contract settles based on actual statistics, regardless of first-half participation. Participation in a play nullified by penalty does not count, and a player who never participates remains subject to the fair price non-participation rule. The protected designation applies only to full-game contracts with an above or at-least payout criterion, and this event includes overtime statistics. Passing touchdowns do not count toward the required touchdowns for individual players, while team defense/special-teams selections settle on actual touchdowns without the player participation exception applying to them.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often aligning with sportsbook odds but sometimes diverging based on information not yet fully priced into traditional markets. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own modeling and risk management, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs about the outcome. If a significant number of traders believe the sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the price here will move accordingly. It’s common to see prediction markets as a leading indicator of potential line movements in sportsbooks, though discrepancies can and do exist.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the market believes is the true probability. The current price indicates the market’s collective expectation for the number of touchdowns scored in the Dallas versus Green Bay game. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions, which dynamically updates the price.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of touchdowns scored in the Dallas versus Green Bay game, as officially recorded by sports data providers, will determine the result. The resolution will be based on the total combined touchdowns scored by both teams during the official game time, excluding any overtime periods unless explicitly stated in the market details. This ensures a clear and objective determination of the outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Injury reports for key offensive players on either the Cowboys or the Packers would be significant catalysts. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is predicted, could also shift expectations. Major news regarding coaching strategies or changes in team dynamics could also play a role. Finally, any late-breaking information regarding player availability or performance expectations will likely cause movement in this market as traders react to the new data.