TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 11:49 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the performance of both teams in a specific football game by counting how many times each team's defense tackles the opposing quarterback behind the line of scrimmage. The outcomes depend on whether each team reaches various threshold levels of such tackles during the match.
All markets resolve based on the official number of sacks recorded by each team during the Dallas vs Green Bay Pro Football game scheduled for October 18, 2026. Sacks recorded during 2-point conversion attempts are excluded from all counts. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. Each market has a specific threshold for the number of sacks a team must achieve for the market to resolve as 'Yes', with separate thresholds defined for both Dallas and Green Bay across multiple levels of performance.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for a profit margin, while this market represents the collective belief of traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it might suggest that traders have information or a perspective that sportsbooks haven’t fully incorporated into their pricing. It's common to see the two converge as the event approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the total number of sacks. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that specific outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price fluctuates, reflecting the evolving consensus. Traders can take either the 'yes' side (believing the total sacks will be above a certain number) or the 'no' side (believing it will be below), attempting to profit from correctly predicting the final result.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of sacks recorded during the Dallas versus Green Bay game will be used to determine the winning contracts. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process, based on official game statistics. Traders will be able to view the final result and any associated payouts on Kalshi following the conclusion of the game.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. News regarding injuries to key defensive players on either the Dallas or Green Bay teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they predict adverse conditions that might affect passing plays and thus sack opportunities, could also move the market. Finally, any late-breaking analysis from football experts or unexpected shifts in public sentiment regarding the teams' defensive capabilities could contribute to price fluctuations.