TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 10:33 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of both teams in a specific football game, focusing on how many field goals they score. Bettors can speculate on whether a team will achieve a certain number of field goals, allowing for various levels of achievement to be wagered on.
The event evaluates multiple markets centered around the number of field goals scored by Dallas and Green Bay in their Pro Football game scheduled for October 18, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific threshold of field goals for either team (1+, 2+, 3+, or 4+). A market resolves to 'Yes' if the specified team achieves the designated number of field goals or more during the game. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, the markets remain active and resolve based on the final official result. Should the game fail to start within the 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The rules emphasize that Kalshi is not officially connected with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and attempt to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the likely outcome. Often, you’ll find that this market incorporates information and analysis that isn’t immediately reflected in sportsbook lines, potentially leading to discrepancies and opportunities for informed traders. However, as game day approaches, the two sets of odds tend to converge as more information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different field goal totals. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective probability assessment of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time indication of expectations. The price is determined solely by supply and demand within the Kalshi market; no external factors directly influence the pricing mechanism.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total number of field goals scored in the Dallas versus Green Bay game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning contracts. The resolution process is independent and relies on publicly available data to ensure an accurate and transparent outcome for all participants in this market. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi following the game's completion.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Cowboys or the Packers, particularly the kicker or offensive line, would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, especially if they predict strong winds or rain, could also impact expectations for field goal attempts. Furthermore, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or defensive adjustments might lead traders to reassess the likelihood of different scoring scenarios. Public sentiment and expert analysis, as reflected in media coverage, can also contribute to price fluctuations.