TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 11:49 PM EST
Kalshi
This market asks whether Green Bay will win by more than 1.5 points in their game against Dallas. Currently, the probability of this outcome occurring on Kalshi is 99.0%. Resolution will be determined by the final score of the Dallas vs Green Bay Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, as reported by the official game results. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market will resolve based on the outcome of the match on or shortly after the resolution date of 2026-10-19.
Each market in this event resolves based on the point differential in the Dallas vs Green Bay Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 18, 2026. Markets are structured to resolve to 'Yes' if the winning team achieves a victory by exceeding specific point margins, ranging from narrow wins (e.g., winning by more than 1.5 points) to decisive landslides (e.g., winning by more than 16.5 points). The outcome labels are strictly determined by the official game result, with all markets sharing the same underlying event—the final score of the specified match. Secondary disclaimers clarify that the platform hosting these markets has no official affiliation with the governing league, and all related trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds closely mirror those found at sportsbooks, as both are influenced by the same underlying information and public sentiment. However, prediction markets can sometimes diverge due to differences in participant motivations and information access. Sportsbooks often adjust lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders focused purely on forecasting the event’s outcome. Any significant differences may indicate a strong signal from the crowd.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the game’s spread. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, directly reflecting the collective forecast of all participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded. The current price represents the probability, as determined by the market, that the spread will fall within the range defined by the contract.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Dallas versus Green Bay game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the NFL, and will determine which contracts pay out based on whether the actual spread fell above or below the market’s implied prediction. All trading will cease upon the completion of the game and the verification of the final score.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Dallas or Green Bay teams would likely cause a shift in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is predicted, could also influence trading activity. Additionally, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale, or even significant betting patterns observed at sportsbooks, could all contribute to movement in this market as traders adjust their predictions.