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Closed: Oct 19, 12:21 AM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on whether Javonte Williams will achieve specific rushing yard thresholds in an upcoming football game between Dallas and Green Bay. The outcomes depend entirely on his performance during the full match, including any overtime periods.
All contracts are designated as protected, meaning if Javonte Williams participates in at least one play during the first half but does not participate in any play after the first half (including overtime), the contract resolves to the fair price prior to the game's kickoff unless he meets the specified rushing yard threshold, in which case it settles based on actual statistics. If he participates in any play after the first half, the contract settles based on actual statistics regardless of first-half involvement. Participation in a play nullified by penalty does not count, and a player who never participates is subject to the fair price non-participation rule. The protected designation applies only to full-game contracts with an above or at-least payout criterion, and this event considers total rushing yards including overtime. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to make accurate predictions. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of confidence in a particular outcome. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges closer to the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes for the total rushing yards. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information, leading to dynamic price fluctuations. This creates a real-time assessment of the likely rushing yardage total, driven by the collective intelligence of the market participants.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final rushing yardage total from the Dallas versus Green Bay game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The official statistics from the game, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will serve as the basis for settlement. Traders will then receive payouts based on their positions and the final result.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Injury reports for key running backs on either team would be a major catalyst, as would any changes to the expected weather conditions for the game. News regarding offensive line matchups or coaching strategies could also influence trading activity. Unexpected announcements about player availability, even late in the week, can cause rapid price adjustments as traders reassess the likely rushing yardage total. Any significant developments related to team performance or player health are likely to move this market.