TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.1b

24H VOL:

$181,481,432

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,983,476,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,827,991,073

405,996

Markets across

40,551

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,368

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Dallas vs Green Bay: Rushing Yards Escalator
kalshi

What is the result of Dallas vs Green Bay?

Volume:
$18,970

Javonte Williams

 - Kalshi

Javonte Williams - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 19, 2026

Closed: Oct 18, 11:59 PM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Javonte Williams

View
1%
Yes 0.8¢No 99.2¢
—
N/A
$8,239
N/A
N/A
$5,770
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

MarShawn Lloyd

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,219
N/A
N/A
$4,758
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Dak Prescott

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,512
N/A
N/A
$4,512
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This market allows participants to speculate on the rushing performance of specific players in an upcoming football game between Dallas and Green Bay. Payouts increase progressively with higher rushing yardage achieved by each designated player, offering a tiered reward structure based on performance thresholds.

Kalshi

Contracts in this market resolve based on the official rushing yards accumulated by designated players—MarShawn Lloyd, Dak Prescott, and Javonte Williams—during the Dallas vs Green Bay Pro Football game scheduled for October 18, 2026. Each Yes contract pays a scaled payout determined by the player's rushing yards, following a cubic function that increases with performance: for every 10-yard increment in rushing yards, the payout rises according to a predefined schedule, capped at $1.00 for 200 or more yards. The payout formula calculates this as floor(10000 x (y / 200)^3) / 10000, where y is derived from the official yards (s) by grouping them into 10-yard increments and ensuring values stay within a 0–200 range. Each No contract pays $1.00 minus the Yes payout, with negative rushing yards resulting in a $0.00 Yes payout. All contracts resolve to Yes after payout determination, and the structure applies uniformly across all three player-specific markets.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Cowboys vs Packers rushing yards market displays the current price, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the market is valuing the likelihood of different rushing yard totals for both teams combined. Currently, the 24-hour volume is $18,970, and the total volume traded to date is $18,970. This allows traders to monitor activity and potential shifts in sentiment regarding the game's rushing performance. The dashboard provides a real-time view of how participants are pricing this outcome.

Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often aligning with but sometimes diverging from traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set initial odds based on their own analyses and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals freely trading based on their own beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing or overvaluing a particular outcome, the price in this market will adjust accordingly. It’s common to see prediction markets as a more accurate reflection of true probabilities, especially as an event approaches.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different rushing yard totals. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that specific outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular total, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the game day nears. The market efficiently aggregates diverse perspectives, resulting in a probability assessment of the total rushing yards.

This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official game statistics are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final rushing yards total for both the Dallas Cowboys and the Green Bay Packers will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on the official statistics released by the NFL, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders will be able to see which contracts were settled as winners and losers following the game's completion and official data release.

Several factors could influence the price of this market. Injury reports for key running backs on either team would be a significant catalyst, as would changes in weather forecasts predicting rain or snow, which could impact the running game. News regarding offensive line changes or defensive strategies focused on stopping the run could also move the market. Furthermore, any late-breaking information about player availability or team tactics could lead to shifts in trader sentiment and adjustments in the price of contracts. Monitoring these signals is crucial for informed trading.