TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 12:09 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks player performance in an upcoming football game, focusing on how many times each player successfully catches the ball. The outcome depends on the official reception counts for each participant, with payouts scaling based on the number achieved.
Each market evaluates the number of official receptions achieved by a specific player in the Dallas vs Green Bay Pro Football game scheduled for October 18, 2026. For each player, Yes contracts pay according to a predefined schedule that increases with the number of receptions, capped at $1.00 for 14 or more receptions. The payout formula for Yes contracts is calculated as floor(10000 x (min(s, 14) / 14)^3) / 10000, where "s" represents the official receptions. No contracts pay $1.00 minus the Yes payout, ensuring that the total payout for both Yes and No contracts combined equals $1.00. The market resolves to Yes if the specified conditions based on receptions are met. All markets operate independently, with each player's performance determining the payout structure for their respective contracts. Kalshi clarifies that it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price will move accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts leading up to the game. These differences can present opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different reception totals. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to provide a real-time estimate of the expected number of receptions, influenced by a wide range of factors and insights.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final reception total for the Dallas Cowboys and Green Bay Packers game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring an objective and transparent outcome. Traders will be able to view the official results on Kalshi following the conclusion of the game and the verification process.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Injury reports for key receivers on either team would likely have a significant impact, as would any changes to the game plan or weather forecasts. Unexpected news regarding quarterback performance or offensive strategies could also shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, any late-breaking information about player availability or team dynamics could lead to price adjustments. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.