TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 11:33 PM EST
Kalshi
This market predicts whether CeeDee Lamb will record 7 or more receptions in the Dallas versus Green Bay professional football game. Currently, Kalshi gives a 99.0% probability to Lamb achieving this milestone. The market will resolve based on whether Tucker Kraft records 10+ receptions in the game, as determined by official game statistics. Keep a close eye on the game itself, scheduled for October 18, 2026, as the outcome hinges on Kraft’s performance and will resolve by October 19, 2026.
All markets resolve based on the total number of receptions recorded by specified players during the Dallas vs Green Bay Pro Football game scheduled for October 18, 2026. If a player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if that snap is nullified by a penalty—the market settles according to the actual number of receptions recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets for this event, ensuring consistent resolution criteria for each participant's reception thresholds.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines which can be influenced by factors like public bias or sharp money. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance action, while this market aggregates diverse opinions. Over time, the prices in this market tend to become more accurate as more information becomes available and more traders participate. It's common to see convergence between prediction market prices and sportsbook odds as the event approaches, though discrepancies can still occur due to differing market participants and information processing.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different reception totals. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The market depth—the number of contracts available at various price points—indicates the level of confidence in each outcome. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the final reception totals and capitalizing on price discrepancies.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the official reception totals for players in the Dallas vs Green Bay game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics released by the NFL. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct reception totals will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment. The process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market's outcome.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Injury reports for key wide receivers and tight ends on both the Cowboys and Packers would be significant catalysts. Any news regarding changes in offensive playcalling strategies or weather conditions impacting passing games could also shift expectations. Unexpected news about player matchups or defensive schemes could also lead to price adjustments. Finally, large volume trades from informed participants can quickly move the market, reflecting new insights or shifts in sentiment regarding the likely reception totals.