TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 12:26 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks specific receiving yard thresholds for individual players in an upcoming American football game. The outcome depends on whether each named player achieves their respective yardage milestones during the full match, including any overtime periods.
All markets are designated as protected, meaning if a player participates in at least one play during the first half but not afterward, the contract resolves to the fair price prior to kickoff unless the player meets the yardage requirement. If the player participates in any play after the first half, the contract settles based on actual statistics regardless of first-half involvement. Participation in a play nullified by penalty does not count, and players who never participate are subject to the fair price non-participation rule. The protected designation applies only to full-game contracts with an above or at-least payout criterion, and all statistics include overtime periods. The event covers multiple receiving yard thresholds for each player, with each threshold resolving to Yes if achieved and No otherwise.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different set of information and participant expertise than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and public perception, while this market aggregates the insights of a diverse group of forecasters. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially when there's significant uncertainty or a belief that the sportsbook is mispricing a particular outcome. These differences can present opportunities for informed traders to find value in either venue, depending on their assessment of the underlying probabilities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different yardage ranges. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth, or the number of contracts available at each price level, also provides insights into the strength of conviction behind different predictions. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a fluid and efficient discovery of probabilities.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official receiving yardage totals for both players are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final yardage totals, as reported by official sources, will determine which contracts pay out and at what value. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in their account balances shortly after the official results are released. It’s important to monitor official sources for the most accurate and up-to-date information regarding the game’s statistics.
Several factors could influence the Cowboys-Packers receiving yards market. Injury reports for key wide receivers on either team are a major catalyst, as are changes in weather forecasts that could impact passing game strategies. Unexpected news regarding quarterback performance or defensive matchups could also shift expectations. Finally, any significant shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or social media trends, could influence trading activity and move the market. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to make informed trading decisions.