TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 11:57 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Matthew Golden will record 60+ receiving yards in the Dallas vs Green Bay professional football game. Currently, Kalshi gives a 99.0% probability to Matthew Golden achieving 60+ receiving yards. The resolution source for this market is whether Matthew Golden records 110+ receiving yards in the Dallas vs Green Bay Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026. Keep a close watch on the game itself, as the market will resolve based on performance data following the conclusion of the game on October 19, 2026.
All markets refer to designated players in the Dallas vs Green Bay Pro Football game scheduled for October 18, 2026. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the specified player records the stated receiving yard threshold (e.g., 40+, 50+, etc.) during the game. If a player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the market settles based on the actual receiving yards recorded during the game. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, while this market allows traders to directly assess the probability of different outcomes. This can lead to discrepancies, as prediction markets aggregate diverse opinions and may be less influenced by initial biases or public perception. However, as the event approaches, the odds on Kalshi and sportsbook lines often converge, especially if significant information impacts expectations.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different potential receiving yard totals. The price of each contract reflects the collective belief of traders regarding the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market operates much like a stock exchange, with prices fluctuating based on supply and demand. Traders aim to profit by correctly predicting the final receiving yard total and capitalizing on price differences.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official receiving yard totals from the Dallas vs Green Bay game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final receiving yards for both teams, as recorded by official game statistics, will determine the outcome of this market. The platform will verify the data against established sports data providers to ensure accuracy and transparency in the resolution process.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Injury reports for key wide receivers or tight ends on either team would be a major catalyst, as their absence would directly impact expected receiving yardage. Weather conditions, particularly if there is heavy rain or wind, could also shift the market, favoring a run-heavy game plan and reducing passing yard totals. Finally, any significant news regarding defensive matchups or coaching strategies could also lead to price adjustments on Kalshi.